Liars Poker by Michael Lewis

“Wall Street,” reads the sinister old gag, “is a street with a river at one end and a graveyard at the other.” This is striking but incomplete. It omits the kindergarden in the middle. -Frederick Schwed Jr.
Liars Poker by Michael Lewis is not only a fantastic picture of the nature of investment […]

What It Means When the Fed Changes Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve has been changing “interest rates” over the past few months and most people I talk to don’t know what that means or how it works.  Here is a simple explanation.
First, a basic understanding of commercial bank regulation is needed. 
Banks are required to have a certain amount of reserves in the form of […]

The American Anomaly: Stocks Don’t Always go up in The Long Run

Occasionally I will mark up really great articles I have read and make a note to go back and read them again.  Usually these articles totally disrupt my worldview and will make me rethink old ideas.  Today I went back into an old publication of the Economist and found a real gem.
It is conventional wisdom in […]

Economists Don’t Predict Recession, Which Is Why We Are Headed For One

Most economists aren’t predicting a recession for the American economy in 2008, which is exactly why we are going to have one.
According to the Economist’s briefing on the American economy, it is very likely the US will see a recession in 2008, but even if it doesn’t it will still feel like one. This is […]

How to Borrower $50,000,000: The Commercial Mortgage Underwriting Process

When applied to commercial real estate debt, underwriting is a term used to describe the process a mortgage originator goes through when deciding whether or not to issue credit to a borrower.  Financing commercial real estate is a completely different game than residential mortgage financing, and knowing how the process works will most certainly work […]